社交媒体、新闻媒体与股票市场
首发时间:2022-12-01
摘要:随着信息技术的发展与进步,社交媒体从一开始的社交工具和讨论平台逐渐演变成传递信息和情绪且越来越具有社会影响力的媒体渠道。为考察社交媒体和新闻媒体对股票市场的不同影响,本文选取2008年1月至2020年12月沪深两市A股上市公司数据作为研究样本。本文研究表明:(1)与传统新闻媒体对股票市场的影响相比,社交媒体对股票波动、换手率和收益率的影响更大。且采用工具变量法和替换媒体关注度指标等稳健性检验方法,依然没有改变本文的基本结论。(2)异质性分析表明,社交媒体和新闻媒体的关注对股票市场的影响会受到不同市场行情、不同公司市值和不同行业公司数量分布的影响。(3)面板向量自回归模型能够较好地模拟社交媒体和新闻媒体关注对未来股票市场的冲击。此外,在市场层面,发现媒体关注度对股票市场的影响存在不对称性。
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Social media, news media and stock market
Abstract:With the development and advancement of information technology, social media has gradually evolved from a social tool and discussion platform to a media channel with more and more social influence to convey information and emotions. In order to examine the different impacts of social media and news media on the stock market, this paper selects the data of A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from January 2008 to December 2020 as a research sample. This paper shows that: (1) Social media has a greater impact on stock volatility, turnover and yield than the impact of traditional news media on the stock market. Moreover, the robustness test methods such as instrumental variable method and replacement media attention index still do not change the basic conclusion of this paper. (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of social media and news media attention on the stock market will be affected by different market conditions, different company market capitalization, and the distribution of the number of companies in different industries. (3) The panel vector autoregressive model can better simulate the impact of social media and news media attention on the future stock market. In addition, at the market level, it was found that there was asymmetry in the impact of media attention on the stock market.
Keywords: Social media News media Idiosyncratic volatility Turnover Return
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